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Mondee Holdings, Inc. (MOND)·Q3 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2023 delivered strong operational momentum: Net Revenue of $54.5M (+35% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA of $5.5M (+54% YoY), Take Rate of 9.1% (highest in normal market conditions), and adjusted operating cash flow of $6.4M after LBF transition costs .
  • Mix shift toward higher-margin non-air content and fintech/ancillary monetization drove margin expansion; management expects take rate to reach double digits as cruises and additional non-air content scale .
  • Guidance rebased to exclude LBF on a pro forma basis: FY23 Net Revenue ~$210M and Adjusted EBITDA ~$25M; revenue appears lower vs prior guide due to pro forma basis, while EBITDA is maintained .
  • Strategic catalysts: Purplegrids AI acquisition to accelerate end-to-end AI integration, transformative rebranding around Abhi, and an expanded $40M share repurchase authorization; addition to S&P Total Market Index enhances visibility and liquidity .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record take rate (9.1%) and highest quarterly Adjusted EBITDA in company history; management highlighted “record Take Rate, Adjusted EBITDA and cash flow” driven by expanded content hub and monetization tools .
  • Accelerating AI strategy with the acquisition of Purplegrids to embed AI across front-, middle-, and back-office; “We are now creating a next-gen AI platform and finalizing clear monetization plans for AI” .
  • Strength in international leisure travel, including recovery in China (back to 90% of 2019 levels YTD) and resilient LATAM; agile model expected to navigate macro/geopolitical pressures (Ukraine/Middle East) effectively .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP net loss of $(20.1)M, impacted by $15.4M of non-cash/non-recurring items including ~$9.3M related to LBF divestiture, $3.0M stock-based comp, and $2.5M intangible amortization .
  • QoQ softness in gross bookings and net revenue reflecting lower airfares and normalization post the post-pandemic boom; ARPT pressure from air offset only partially by hotels/ancillaries .
  • FY revenue guidance appears reduced vs prior communication due to retroactive pro forma exclusion of LBF; management clarified the adjustment is mathematical rather than directional, but optics could weigh on sentiment .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023
Net Revenue ($USD Millions)$49.929 $56.771 $54.532
GAAP EPS ($)$(0.18) $(0.22) $(0.29)
Adjusted EPS ($)$(0.09) $(0.09) $(0.10)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$4.157 $4.438 $5.501
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)8.3% 7.8% 10.1%
Transactions (#)665,173 721,464 695,694
Gross Bookings ($USD Millions)$668.079 $679.244 $597.451
Take Rate (%)7.5% 8.4% 9.1%
Net Revenue YoY Growth (%)28% 24% 35%
Net Revenue QoQ Growth (%)46% 14% (4%)

Notes:

  • Management disclosed modified definitions for certain non-GAAP metrics in 2023; where discrepancies exist, latest-period definitions are used .

KPIs and Operating Metrics:

KPIQ1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023
Air vs Non-Air Mix (%)Not disclosedNot disclosedAir ~75–80%; Non-air ~20–25%
Fintech/Ancillary Attachment Rate (%)15–18% Not disclosed~15%

Estimate Comparison (S&P Global):

MetricQ3 2023 Consensus
Revenue ($USD Millions)Unavailable via S&P Global*
EPS ($)Unavailable via S&P Global*

*Values retrieved from S&P Global. Consensus for MOND was unavailable due to mapping limitations in SPGI datasets.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Revenue ($USD Millions)FY 2023$245–$250M ~$210M (pro forma excl. LBF) Rebased to exclude LBF; apparent reduction vs prior guide
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2023$25–$30M ~$25M (pro forma excl. LBF) Maintained at midpoint; pro forma basis
Take Rate (%)FY 2023/ForwardNot guidedExpected to reach double digits over time Positive trajectory
Share RepurchaseOngoing$30M authorizationExpanded to $40M authorization Increased capital return

Management clarified the revenue guidance change reflects retroactive pro forma exclusion of LBF since 1/1/2023; the directional outlook remains intact, with EBITDA maintained .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2023)Previous Mentions (Q2 2023)Current Period (Q3 2023)Trend
AI/Technology InitiativesBuilding integrated AI marketplace; Abhi launch planning Launched fully integrated AI marketplace; accelerated ~$20M investment; rebranding plan Acquired Purplegrids; accelerating AI across full stack; monetization plans progressing Accelerating
Macro & GeopoliticsInternational travel recovering to ~82% of 2019; tailwinds vs domestic Seasonality shift with international expansion; cautious on U.S. softness China ~90% of 2019 YTD; LATAM resilient; Ukraine/Middle East impact monitored; agile model to offset Mixed but resilient
Product Performance & MixGrowing hotels and ancillaries; take rate up on diversified streams Take rate up to ~8%; hotel growth; cruises added to content Take rate 9.1%; non-air content expansion; cruises/activities expected growth in late 2024 Improving mix
Distribution: Influencers/ExpertsLaunched influencer network; B2E wins Targeting social influencers; $20M marketing/personnel to scale A few thousand new-era experts signed; refining monetization before full spend Building
Cost Optimization/DivestituresDebt facility increase; acquisitions accretive Integration discipline; seasonality shift from international acquisitions Divested LBF to boost profitability; transition costs ~$7.4M; pro forma disclosures Focused profitability
Capital Allocation/IndicesRussell 2000 addition; secondary offering expanded holders S&P TMI addition; $40M buyback authorization Visibility up

Management Commentary

  • “We are thrilled by an extraordinary quarter with record Take Rate, Adjusted EBITDA and cash flow… profitability was further boosted by divesting LBF US, an underperforming, non-core B2C air business unit” – Prasad Gundumogula, CEO .
  • “We achieved a record Take Rate of 9.1%… decisive margin expansion initiatives culminated in Adjusted EBITDA increase of over 50%… intensifying business optimization and cost control measures” – Jesus Portillo, CFO .
  • “Abhi… is the only fully integrated solution on the market… we are now creating a next-gen AI platform and finalizing clear monetization plans for AI… strengthened with the acquisition of Purplegrids” – Orestes Fintiklis, Executive Vice Chairman .
  • “With more than 80% of our business related to international leisure travel… Latin American market remains very resilient… agile business model is resilient during such periods” – James W. Dullum, COO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Mix post-LBF: Air remains ~75–80% of mix; non-air 20–25%; management still expects increased take rates as non-air scales .
  • Operating leverage and growth: Pro forma framework provided via 10-Q; organic growth ~18% for 9M23; leverage expected to improve with efficiency initiatives .
  • Fintech/Ancillary attachment: ~15% attach rate overall, with higher rates in certain segments; initiative continues to scale .
  • Guidance optics: FY23 guidance rebased to exclude LBF from Jan 1; mathematically aligns with prior direction; EBITDA ~$25M maintained .
  • Purplegrids economics: Near-term revenue/EBITDA impact immaterial; strategic to embed AI across business; replaces consulting fees with payroll, improving cost efficiency .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 2023 Revenue and EPS was unavailable due to missing SPGI mapping for MOND; thus beats/misses vs consensus cannot be assessed. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Implications: Analysts should update models to management’s pro forma basis (excluding LBF) and incorporate higher take-rate trajectory, mixed airfare dynamics, and scaling non-air content; EBITDA maintained at ~$25M indicates margin resilience despite revenue rebasing .

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin expansion story: Take rate reached 9.1% and is expected to enter double digits with growth in hotels, cruises, and fintech/ancillaries; this is a central driver of EBITDA and cash generation .
  • Pro forma reset clarifies path: FY23 guidance reset to exclude LBF removes drag on EBITDA, maintains ~$25M Adjusted EBITDA, and improves long-term profitability optics despite lower reported revenue base .
  • AI execution catalyst: Purplegrids acquisition accelerates full-stack AI integration (front-to-back office) with monetization plans underway; watch for Q4 updates and early 2024 KPIs .
  • International exposure mitigates macro: Strength in China recovery and LATAM resilience offset softer North America/Europe and geopolitical headwinds; agile distribution supports demand shifts .
  • Capital return and index inclusion: $40M buyback authorization and S&P TMI inclusion enhance investor visibility and potential trading liquidity; modest buyback activity thus far (<$1M) suggests runway .
  • Watch ARPT/airfare dynamics: Lower airfares pressure ARPT; mix shift to hotels/non-air should offset; monitor transactions and take rate trajectory for confirmation .
  • Near-term focus: Continued integration synergies from 2023 acquisitions, cost controls, and influencer distribution monetization refinements should underpin Q4 profitability and 2024 growth .

Appendix: Additional Data

  • Non-GAAP adjustments: Q3 net loss included $15.4M in non-cash/non-recurring items (LBF divestiture ~$9.3M, SBC ~$3.0M, amortization ~$2.5M), underscoring difference between GAAP and Adjusted EBITDA trends .
  • Cash/debt: Cash & equivalents ~$48–$50M around Q3; total debt ~$155M; cash decline driven by Skypass acquisition and LBF transition costs .
  • Operating cash flow: After adjusting for ~$7.4M LBF transition outflows, Q3 operating cash flow was +$6.4M vs $(1.0)M in Q3 2022 .

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